多目标数据关联及航迹管理建模与仿真

利用分布式推理判决理论较好地解决了数据融合中目标数据关联问题,并对目标航迹的真实跟踪概率（ＴＴＰ）进行了研究,在ＭｏｄｅｌＣ和ＭｏｄｅｌＤ假设的基础上给出了ＴＴＰ的计算公式,并利用ＴＴＰ对航迹进行了有效的管理。最后利用ＭＡＴＬＡＢ语言进行了仿真。     

一种炮瞄雷达故障诊断专家系统

依据炮瞄雷达故障诊断的需要,提出了一种智能化炮瞄雷达故障诊断专家系统设计方案。探讨了方案的组成,给出了实用诊断策略。     

智能工具机的性能分析

本文论述了提高智能工具机性能所采取的技术措施,并对其性能进行了模拟。模拟结果表明,智能工具机的平均推理速度可达500KLIPS 左右,比日本的PSI—Ⅰ约快一倍,比美国加州大学Berkeley 分校研制的PLM 约快两倍。     

磁性合金A1-xBx相图的理论计算

采用变分累积展开方法,研究了块体磁性合金的相图.利用随机键海森堡模型计算了面心立方、体心立方的居里点和耐尔点,给出了磁性合金临界点的计算公式,进而分别给出自旋1/2和3/2情况下Tc-x相图,并加以分析.     

Bayesian testing strategies for software with an operational profile

We consider a software reliability model where the failure rate of each fault depends on the specific operation performed. The software is tested in a given sequence of test cases for fixed durations of time to collect data on failure times. We present a Bayesian analysis of software failure data by treating the initial number of faults as a random variable. Our analysis relies on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and is used for developing optimal testing strategies in an adaptive manner. Two different models involving individual and common faults are analyzed. We illustrate an implementation of our approach by using some simulated failure data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:747–763, 2001     

基于模糊推理的目标对潜发现问题研究

基于模糊推理基本思想,针对潜艇水下收集目标信息的特点,在目标对潜艇威胁信息存在不确定性因素的基础上,建立了判断潜艇被发现与否的指标体系,应用模糊推理方法建立了判断规则,并给出了推导过程和实现方式,在把模糊推理方法应用于潜艇威胁判断模型的研究上做了初步尝试。     

基于VMD和SVM的舰船辐射噪声特征提取及分类识别

针对复杂海洋背景下舰船声频辐射噪声特征提取困难的问题，提出一种基于变分模态分解、中心频率、复杂度特征和支持向量机的舰船辐射噪声特征提取及分类识别方法。对四类舰船辐射噪声信号使用变分模态方法分解，得到一定数量的固有模态函数。通过比较提取能量最大的固有模态函数中心频率和排列熵作为特征参数，并利用支持向量机方法对四类舰船信号样本进行分类识别。实验结果表明，该方法可以实现对舰船辐射噪声的特征提取，与已有方法对比，该方法具有较高的识别率。     

Stochastic call center staffing with uncertain arrival,service and abandonment rates: A Bayesian perspective

In this article, we introduce staffing strategies for the Erlang‐A queuing system in call center operations with uncertain arrival, service, and abandonment rates. In doing so, we model the system rates using gamma distributions that create randomness in operating characteristics used in the optimization formulation. We divide the day into discrete time intervals where a simulation based stochastic programming method is used to determine staffing levels. More specifically, we develop a model to select the optimal number of agents required for a given time interval by minimizing an expected cost function, which consists of agent and abandonment (opportunity) costs, while considering the service quality requirements such as the delay probability. The objective function as well as the constraints in our formulation are random variables. The novelty of our approach is to introduce a solution method for the staffing of an operation where all three system rates (arrival, service, and abandonment) are random variables. We illustrate the use of the proposed model using both real and simulated call center data. In addition, we provide solution comparisons across different formulations, consider a dynamic extension, and discuss sensitivity implications of changing constraint upper bounds as well as prior hyper‐parameters. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 460–478, 2016     

基于模糊推理的目标攻潜武器判断

介绍了模糊推理理论基本思想,分析了判断目标攻潜武器的战术依据.针对潜艇水下收集目标信息的特点,应用模糊推理理论建立了目标攻潜武器类型的判断规则,并给出推导过程和实现方式,在把模糊推理理论应用于潜艇威胁判断模型的研究上做了初步尝试.     

发动机传感器数据证实的贝叶斯信度网络方法

针对发动机及其部件试验传感器数据证实的多源证据融合问题,描述了建立贝叶斯信度网络的方法,给出了传感器状态和检验关系式不确定性信息表达方法,发展了自动建立贝叶斯信度网络、计算可信度概率及更新网络的算法;给出了贝叶斯信度网络方法在模型发动机上的应用示例。